Trump Holds 38% Approval in Georgia After July 4th Milestone

Donald Trump registers 38% approval and 58% disapproval in Georgia in the latest Civiqs survey conducted as the nation marked its 250th anniversary on July 4, 2026. The figure matches the New York Times national daily average and continues a decline that began near 44% at the start of his second term in early 2025. The result leaves the president underwater by 20 points in a state he carried twice.

Poll shows consistent underwater numbers across Georgia

Civiqs data released in early July places Trump at 38% approve, 58% disapprove and 4% unsure among Georgia adults. The same pollster recorded 44% approval early in the second term, producing a steady six-point drop over roughly 18 months. State-level tracking from June 2026 placed the net rating at minus 20 points or worse, aligning with broader aggregator maps that show Trump below water in the Peach State.

The timing coincides with the Semiquincentennial events, yet the numbers reflect no measurable lift from the national commemoration. Georgia results track the national average of 38% approval and 58% disapproval reported by the New York Times as of July 7. The parallel movement suggests the state electorate is responding to the same national signals that have shaped opinion elsewhere.

Decline tracks through second term with little variation

Approval erosion began shortly after inauguration and continued without rebound through the first half of 2026. Civiqs tracking captured the slide from the initial 44% reading to the current 38% mark, a pattern that has held across multiple survey waves. The absence of upward movement around major national milestones underscores the durability of the negative trend.

Georgia voters have shown particular sensitivity on issues that dominated the 2020 and 2022 cycles, including election administration and federal policy implementation. The sustained gap between approve and disapprove ratings indicates those concerns remain active rather than fading with time. No single event in the latest period reversed the direction of the numbers.

Numbers shape 2026 Republican primary dynamics

The 38% ceiling for Trump support in Georgia set the environment for the May 19 Republican primary for governor. Lt. Gov. Burt Jones entered as the three-time Trump-endorsed candidate with roughly $3.9 million raised. Attorney General Chris Carr led external fundraising at approximately $4.9 million. Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger reported $864,000 raised plus $5 million in self-funding. Billionaire healthcare executive Rick Jackson, the late entrant who has self-funded more than $30 million, led recent surveys in the low 30s.

Each candidate had to navigate an electorate where Trump himself sits below 40%. Jones benefited from the endorsement line but had to demonstrate he could expand beyond that base. Carr and Raffensperger positioned themselves as institutional alternatives who have maintained distance from the president on key state matters. Jackson's heavy television investment tested whether self-funding can overcome the broader approval environment. A runoff on June 16 occurred after no candidate reached 50% on primary night.

Primary calendar now drives next measurement points

Ballot access and early voting deadlines arrived in the weeks leading up to the primary, giving candidates their first direct tests of organization. The May 19 primary provided the clearest read yet on whether any contender can consolidate support in a low-approval climate for the national party figure. Fundraising reports due before the primary showed whether external money or self-funding alters the current polling order.